SE MO St 
W-L: (13-16) PR = 93.3136
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 67-91
1106 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 71-66
1111 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 57-67
1118 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 69-62
1129 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 56-85
1130 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 55-65
1203 A HARST **-34
1206 H So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 71-76
1218 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 66-79
1220 H Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 72-76
101 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 70-68
103 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 51-58
110 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 59-65
115 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 66-78
117 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 64-56
120 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 56-67
122 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 67-57
129 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 55-69
131 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 71-56
205 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 57-71
212 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 61-69
214 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 67-78
217 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 62-52
221 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 71-62
226 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 89-52
228 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 83-61
304 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 68-65
305 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 60-55
306 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 66-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Illinois 67-91 -24 -3 0.00
1106 A Evansville 71-66 5 1 1.49
1111 H Missouri St 57-67 -10 -1 -0.66
1118 A Wichita St 69-62 7 0 1.66
1129 H Arizona St 56-85 -29 -3 0.00
1130 H San Diego 55-65 -10 0 - -2.04
1206 H So Illinois 71-76 -5 1 - -2.69
1218 H Tenn Tech 66-79 -13 0 -1.75
1220 H Tenn St 72-76 -4 1 - -3.13
101 A Ea Illinois 70-68 2 1 0.61
103 H We Illinois 51-58 -7 -1 -0.52
110 H Morehead St 59-65 -6 0 -1.60
115 H Lindenwood 66-78 -12 -1 -0.68
117 A SIUE 64-56 8 0 + 2.09
120 H UT Martin 56-67 -11 0 - -2.31
122 A Little Rock 67-57 10 0 + 2.30
129 H We Illinois 55-69 -14 -1 -0.52
131 A Ea Illinois 71-56 15 1 0.61
205 H Morehead St 57-71 -14 0 -1.60
212 H SIUE 61-69 -8 0 -1.93
214 H Lindenwood 67-78 -11 -1 -0.68
217 A UT Martin 62-52 10 0 1.71
221 A Little Rock 71-62 9 0 + 2.30
226 A Tenn St 89-52 37 1 0.89
228 A Tenn Tech 83-61 22 0 + 2.27
304 A Little Rock 68-65 3 0 + 2.30
305 A Morehead St 60-55 5 0 + 2.42
306 H We Illinois 66-74 -8 -1 -0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1130 H San Diego 55-65 -10 0 - -2.04
1206 H So Illinois 71-76 -5 1 - -2.69
1220 H Tenn St 72-76 -4 1 - -3.13
120 H UT Martin 56-67 -11 0 - -2.31
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
117 A SIUE 64-56 8 0 + 2.09
122 A Little Rock 67-57 10 0 + 2.30
221 A Little Rock 71-62 9 0 + 2.30
228 A Tenn Tech 83-61 22 0 + 2.27
304 A Little Rock 68-65 3 0 + 2.30
305 A Morehead St 60-55 5 0 + 2.42
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 67-91 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 1.08 -1.74
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 71-66 -7.11 3.85 0.01 1.08 8.37
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 57-67 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.08 -2.85
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 69-62 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.08 8.74
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 56-85 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 1.08 -2.02
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 55-65 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.08 -3.59
3 H So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 71-76 -7.26 3.70 -0.01 1.08 -3.94
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 66-79 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.08 -3.43
3 H Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 72-76 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.08 -4.18
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 70-68 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.08 6.47
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 51-58 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.08 -2.77
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 59-65 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.08 -3.35
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 66-78 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.08 -2.85
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 64-56 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.08 9.68
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 56-67 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.08 -3.74
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 67-57 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.08 10.12
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 55-69 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.08 -2.77
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 71-56 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.08 6.47
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 57-71 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.08 -3.35
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 61-69 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.08 -3.53
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 67-78 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.08 -2.85
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 62-52 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.08 8.85
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 71-62 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.08 10.12
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 89-52 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.08 7.07
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 83-61 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.08 10.07
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 68-65 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.08 10.12
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 60-55 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.08 10.39
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 66-74 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.08 -2.77
------
56.74
|
winning pts = 106.4699 losing points = -49.7285
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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